A Polling Average

I have been frustrated recently trying to find a polling average for the 2020 election, RealClearPolitics’ one has issues with how it accepts every type of poll, and it is too heavy on favoring recent polls over a broader sample. pollster.com is unfortunately dead and buried, and Nate Silver is still working on his model. This frustrated me enough that I decided to just make my own average. This isn’t a suggestion that I’m better at doing this than any professional, I’m just an undergrad who put this together over a weekend, and much of the methodology is just what I could crib from existing 538 resources.

That being said, here’s the link, and here is a tweet thread that I wrote about how it works.